The Prediction Markets

What Pokemon cards will Logan Paul pull?

Starts in 7 daysKickoff
Traded
$9K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Reverse Holographic Pikachu 45.5%

Next is Reverse Holographic Snorlax at 45.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Reverse Holographic Pikachu
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reverse Holographic Pikachu
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$950
Trade this on Polymarket
Reverse Holographic Snorlax
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reverse Holographic Snorlax
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Reverse Holographic Charizard
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reverse Holographic Charizard
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Reverse Holographic Gengar
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reverse Holographic Gengar
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Reverse Holographic Pikachu
  • Reverse Holographic Snorlax
  • Reverse Holographic Charizard

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What Pokemon cards will Logan Paul pull?". Reverse Holographic Pikachu leads at 45.5%. Next is Reverse Holographic Snorlax at 45.5%. $9K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 30, 2026.

Logan Paul is scheduled to open packs of the Pokemon Legendary Collection set live on stream on October 29, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified card is pulled (opened and revealed) by Logan Paul from a pack during this stream. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Each listed card refers specifically to its Reverse Holographic print from the Legendary Collection set. Pulling that card in any other version (e.g., its standard holographic print) will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Only cards pulled directly by Logan Paul, from a pack opened live during this stream, will count. Cards pulled by any other participant, cards shown but not opened live (e.g., pre-opened or shown off-stream), and cards acquired by any means other than opening a pack live on this stream will not qualify. If this stream does not occur, or Logan Paul does not open any Legendary Collection packs during it, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Logan Paul's official stream/VOD, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More culture markets

See all culture markets