The Prediction Markets

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$71K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

10 60%

Next is 16 at 53%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
10
60%
Polymarket 60%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
10
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$287
Trade this on Polymarket
16
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
16
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
18
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
18
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
20
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
20
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
8
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
8
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
22
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
22
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
24
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
24
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
4
9.1%
Polymarket 9.1%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 9.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,042 (10.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
4
Last price
9.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.6¢
Sell Yes
8.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,042 (10.4x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
6
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 9.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
6
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.3¢
Sell Yes
8.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,075 (10.8x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
26
7.9%
Polymarket 7.9%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
26
Last price
7.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.5¢
Sell Yes
7.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,176 (11.8x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 10
  • 16
  • 18

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?". 10 leads at 60%. Next is 16 at 53%. $71K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

What price will Chainlink hit before 2027?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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