The Prediction Markets

What price will Chainlink hit in October?

Closes
Nov 1, 2026, in 9 days
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
25 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

14 61.5%

Next is 16 at 38.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 25 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
14
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
14
Last price
61.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
16
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
16
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
20
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
20
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$212
Trade this on Polymarket
22
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
22
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$113
Trade this on Polymarket
6
34.6%
Polymarket 34.6%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 67.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
6
Last price
34.6%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
67.2¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$78
Trade this on Polymarket
8
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
8
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$192
Trade this on Polymarket
18
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
18
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$154
Trade this on Polymarket
24
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
24
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$357
Trade this on Polymarket
10
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
10
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$66
Trade this on Polymarket
4
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
4
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Polymarket
26
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
26
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$179
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 14
  • 16
  • 20

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What price will Chainlink hit in October?". 14 leads at 61.5%. Next is 16 at 38.5%. $2K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2026.

What price will Chainlink hit in October?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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