The Prediction Markets

What price will $PONS hit in 2026?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$6K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

0.2 54.5%

Next is 0.4 at 51.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
0.2
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.2
Last price
54.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
0.4
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.4
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$151
Trade this on Polymarket
0.1
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.1
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Polymarket
1
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
1
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
2
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
2
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Polymarket
3
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
3
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
5
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
5
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$195
Trade this on Polymarket
10
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
10
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
1.5
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.5
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: dexscreener.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 0.2
  • 0.4
  • 0.1

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What price will $PONS hit in 2026?". 0.2 leads at 54.5%. Next is 0.4 at 51.5%. $6K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Uniswap 1-minute candle for $PONS (PONS/USDG) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Uniswap, specifically the PONS/USDG “High” and "Low" prices available at: https://dexscreener.com/robinhood/0x4be9657ec9002e528f4f17a5c43edc525a07f888f7b180c2afbf75e096c4f38a with the chart set to “USD” and “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Uniswap v4 PONS/USDG price feed on Robinhood Chain will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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