The Prediction Markets

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$2.7M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

90 53.5%

Next is 80 at 28.5%. The venues differ most on 70 (Polymarket 13.5%, Kalshi 24%), a 10-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

2 of 36 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
90
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
90
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
80
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
80
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
140
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
140
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$59K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above $150.00
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $150.00
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$106K
Trade this on Kalshi
70
16.1%
Polymarket 13.5%live, 15s agoKalshi 24%live, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
70
Price
13.5%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$38K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below $70.00
Price
24%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 14¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 15¢.

160
14.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 17%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
160
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$155K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $160.00
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$60K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 12¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 14¢.

Below $65.00
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $65.00
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$988
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $170.00
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $170.00
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$59K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $190.00
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $190.00
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
60
8.9%
Polymarket 8.8%polled, 27s agoKalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
60
Last price
8.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.7¢
Sell Yes
7.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,031 (10.3x)
Volume
$229K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below $60.00
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 7.9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 12¢.

Show 18 more outcomes
180
8.5%
Polymarket 7.6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 11%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
180
Last price
7.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
6.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$153K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $180.00
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$43K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8.9¢.

220
6.9%
Polymarket 6.9%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
220
Last price
6.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
3.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$39K
Trade this on Polymarket
200
6.7%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 7%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
200
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$85K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $200.00
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$42K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

50
6.1%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
50
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$138K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below $50.00
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.

Below $45.00
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $45.00
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$991
Trade this on Kalshi
Below $55.00
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $55.00
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$246
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $250.00
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $250.00
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$33K
Trade this on Kalshi
Below $35.00
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $35.00
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$865
Trade this on Kalshi
300Arb
3.6%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 27s agoKalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
300
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $300.00
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 160 bps before fees.

260
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
260
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$30K
Trade this on Polymarket
40
3.4%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
40
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$238K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below $40.00
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

240
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
240
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
2.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$76K
Trade this on Polymarket
30
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
30
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
280
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
280
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$39K
Trade this on Polymarket
20
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
20
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$220K
Trade this on Polymarket
320
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
320
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$125K
Trade this on Polymarket
400
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
400
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$69K
Trade this on Polymarket
600
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
600
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$175K
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy 300 on Polymarket at 3.4¢, sell on Kalshi at 5¢ (160 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Different bets: these contracts settle on different rules

Where they differ

  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
Show full rule comparison
  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
  • Trading closes Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 90
  • 80
  • 140

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 90 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What price will Solana hit in 2026?". 90 leads at 53.5%. Next is 80 at 28.5%. $2.7M has traded across 28 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

What price will Solana hit before 2027?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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