The Prediction Markets

What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch?

Closes
Jan 1, 2030, in 39 months
Traded
$80K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Pepas 74%

Next is Bad and Boujee at 33%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Pepas
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pepas
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bad and Boujee
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bad and Boujee
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Mask Off
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mask Off
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sicko Mode
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sicko Mode
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Blinding Lights
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Blinding Lights
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
God’s Plan
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
God’s Plan
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Stay
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stay
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Mo Bamba
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mo Bamba
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
As It Was
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
As It Was
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Despacito
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Despacito
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 4 more outcomes
Look at Me!
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Look at Me!
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rockstar
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rockstar
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Shape of You
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shape of You
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
XO Tour Llif3
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
XO Tour Llif3
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kotaku, Rockstar Games

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Pepas
  • Bad and Boujee
  • Mask Off

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch?". Pepas leads at 74%. Next is Bad and Boujee at 33%. $80K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2030.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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