The Prediction Markets

What value will Total Crypto Market Cap hit in 2026?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$23K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

3.25T 67%

Next is 3.5T at 47.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
3.25T
67%
Polymarket 67%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.25T
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$924
Trade this on Polymarket
3.5T
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.5T
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$997
Trade this on Polymarket
2T
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
2T
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
3.75T
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.75T
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
4T
6.3%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
4T
Last price
6.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7.7¢
Sell Yes
4.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,299 (13.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
1.5T
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.5T
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$337
Trade this on Polymarket
1.75T
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.75T
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$783
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: coingecko.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 3.25T
  • 3.5T
  • 2T

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What value will Total Crypto Market Cap hit in 2026?". 3.25T leads at 67%. Next is 3.5T at 47.5%. $23K has traded across 7 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches a value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High values, below for ↓ Low values) the listed value on any date from the creation of this market through December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically the "Market Cap" figure shown when mousing over a given date on the "Total Crypto Market Cap" chart available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/charts. A data point on the CoinGecko chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published. Please note that this market depends solely on the CoinGecko "Total Crypto Market Cap" chart. Data from other sources, indices, aggregators, or exchanges will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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