The Prediction Markets

What will Abercrombie & Fitch say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Feb 22, 2027, in 4 months
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

Baby / Toddler 83.5%

Next is Headwind at 82.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Baby / Toddler
83.5%
Kalshi 83.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baby / Toddler
Last price
83.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Headwind
82.5%
Kalshi 82.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Headwind
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tariff
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tariff
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$192
Trade this on Kalshi
Consecutive
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Consecutive
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Closure
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Closure
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$162
Trade this on Kalshi
AI / Artificial Intelligence
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
International
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
International
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NFL
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
NFL
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$267
Trade this on Kalshi
Target
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Target
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$99
Trade this on Kalshi
Sperry
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sperry
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$275
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 4 more outcomes
Taco Bell
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Taco Bell
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$86
Trade this on Kalshi
Gigi Perez
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gigi Perez
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$350
Trade this on Kalshi
Luxury
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luxury
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$86
Trade this on Kalshi
Vintage / Archive
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vintage / Archive
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$86
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Baby / Toddler
  • Headwind
  • Tariff

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Abercrombie & Fitch say during their next earnings call?". Baby / Toddler leads at 83.5%. Next is Headwind at 82.5%. $2K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 22, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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