The Prediction Markets

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Mar 22, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

Golden Dome 77%

Next is Tailwind at 63.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Golden Dome
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden Dome
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tailwind
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tailwind
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Supply Chain
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Supply Chain
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$141
Trade this on Kalshi
Iran / Middle East
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iran / Middle East
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Orbit
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Orbit
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
Red Dragon (3+ times)
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Red Dragon (3+ times)
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Taiwan
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
Taiwan
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$305
Trade this on Kalshi
Space Force
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Space Force
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$19
Trade this on Kalshi
AV Halo
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
AV Halo
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$249
Trade this on Kalshi
BlueHalo / Blue Halo (3+ times)
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
BlueHalo / Blue Halo (3+ times)
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$547
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 4 more outcomes
Robot / Robotic / Robotics
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Robot / Robotic / Robotics
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
Headwind
27.5%
Kalshi 27.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Headwind
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NATO
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
NATO
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Backpackable
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Backpackable
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: AeroVironment, Inc. Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Golden Dome
  • Tailwind
  • Supply Chain

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call?". Golden Dome leads at 77%. Next is Tailwind at 63.5%. $1K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 22, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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