The Prediction Markets

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in October 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$50K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

172 56.5%

Next is 192 at 50.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
172
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
172
Last price
56.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
192
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
192
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
1¢
Volume
$0
Trade this on Polymarket
152
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
152
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
164
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
164
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Polymarket
180
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
180
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
184
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
184
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
200
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
200
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
188
49.9%
Polymarket 49.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
188
Last price
49.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$220
Trade this on Polymarket
168
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
168
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
156
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
156
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$417
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 9 more outcomes
160
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
160
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$606
Trade this on Polymarket
144
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
144
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
196
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
196
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$176
Trade this on Polymarket
140
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
140
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
148
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
148
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
132
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
132
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
124
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
124
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$118
Trade this on Polymarket
128
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
128
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
136
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
136
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 172
  • 192
  • 152

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in October 2026?". 172 leads at 56.5%. Next is 192 at 50.5%. $50K has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2026.

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in October 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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