The Prediction Markets

What will Alaska Air say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Apr 22, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
6 min ago
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What the markets expect

Headwind 92.5%

Next is Amazon at 92%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 6 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Headwind
92.5%
Kalshi 92.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Headwind
Last price
92.5%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Amazon
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Amazon
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Starlink
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Starlink
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cargo
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cargo
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$319
Trade this on Kalshi
Oneworld
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oneworld
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Boeing
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Boeing
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Atmos
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atmos
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$268
Trade this on Kalshi
Premium Reserve
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Premium Reserve
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$328
Trade this on Kalshi
AI / Artificial Intelligence
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Kalshi
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Kalshi
Tariff
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tariff
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$182
Trade this on Kalshi
Tailwind
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tailwind
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$53
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Alaska Air Group, Inc. Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Headwind
  • Amazon
  • Starlink

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Alaska Air say during their next earnings call?". Headwind leads at 92.5%. Next is Amazon at 92%. $1K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 22, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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