The Prediction Markets

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in October 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$53K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

320 86%

Next is 330 at 77%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
320
86%
Polymarket 86%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
320
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
330
77%
Polymarket 77%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
330
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Trade this on Polymarket
350
57%
Polymarket 57%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
350
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$899
Trade this on Polymarket
310
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
310
Last price
56%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
340
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
340
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$704
Trade this on Polymarket
270
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
270
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
300
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
300
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
360
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
360
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
290
16.8%
Polymarket 16.8%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
290
Last price
16.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
14.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
370
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
370
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 5 more outcomes
380
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
380
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
390
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
390
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
400
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
400
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.2¢
Sell Yes
2.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,389 (13.9x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
280
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
280
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
410
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
410
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$947
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 320
  • 330
  • 350

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in October 2026?". 320 leads at 86%. Next is 330 at 77%. $53K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2026.

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in October 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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