The Prediction Markets

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (October 27)

Closes
Oct 28, 2026, in 4 days
Traded
$15K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Animals 51.5%

Next is Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex at 11.7%. The venues differ most on Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs (Polymarket 2.5%, Kalshi 1%), a 1.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
AnimalsArb
51.5%
Polymarket 14%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 43%polled, just nowKalshi 62%polled, just nowKalshi 87%polled, just nowBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Animals
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Animals
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Animals
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$436
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Animals
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$502
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 26¢ and selling on Kalshi at 79¢ nets 5300 bps before fees.

Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
11.7%
Kalshi 9%polled, just nowKalshi 21%polled, just nowKalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Kalshi
Evil Dead Burn
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Evil Dead Burn
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Gladiator II
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gladiator II
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Polymarket
Primate
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Primate
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Sacrifice
5.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 7%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sacrifice
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sacrifice
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sacrifice
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$458
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Corpse Bride
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Corpse Bride
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$757
Trade this on Kalshi
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
3.3%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 6%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$242
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$218
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$164
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.

Doing LifeArb
2.9%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Doing Life
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Doing Life
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Doing Life
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$705
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Doing Life
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 2¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Twilight
1.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Twilight
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$264
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Twilight
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 9 more outcomes
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
1.6%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$242
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$337
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Ice Age
1.4%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ice Age
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$242
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$372
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Ice Age: Collision Course
1.4%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ice Age: Collision Course
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$243
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age: Collision Course
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age: Collision Course
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age: Collision Course
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$257
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Anyone But You
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anyone But You
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$257
Trade this on Kalshi
Ice Age: Continental Drift
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age: Continental Drift
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
Ice Age: The Meltdown
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age: The Meltdown
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
The Breadwinner
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Breadwinner
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
The Breadwinner
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Kalshi
The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Kalshi
UNABOMBER
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
UNABOMBER
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$177
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
UNABOMBER
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$131
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
UNABOMBER
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Animals on Polymarket at 26¢, sell on Kalshi at 79¢ (5300 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: netflix.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Netflix, Netflix
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Animals
  • Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
  • Evil Dead Burn

Live prices for Animals

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (October 27)". Animals leads at 51.5%. Next is Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex at 11.7%. $15K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 28, 2026.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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