The Prediction Markets

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (October 27)

Closes
Oct 28, 2026, in 4 days
Traded
$28K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Nobody Wants This: Season 3 33.9%

Next is Love Is Blind: S11: Boston at 33.7%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Nobody Wants This: Season 3Arb
33.9%
Polymarket 62.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 15%polled, 19s agoKalshi 10%polled, 19s agoKalshi 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$582
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 20¢ and selling on Polymarket at 61¢ nets 4100 bps before fees.

Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
33.7%
Kalshi 45%polled, 19s agoKalshi 2%polled, 19s agoKalshi 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$716
Trade this on Kalshi
Below: Limited SeriesArb
23.9%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 4%polled, 19s agoKalshi 68%polled, 19s agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Below: Limited Series
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$264 (2.64x)
Volume
$179
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below: Limited Series
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Below: Limited Series
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$318
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Below: Limited Series
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 37.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 68¢ nets 3010 bps before fees.

Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
11.8%
Kalshi 4%polled, 19s agoKalshi 26%polled, 19s agoKalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$513
Trade this on Kalshi
The Diplomat: Season 4
4.6%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 4%polled, 19s agoKalshi 4%polled, 19s agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Diplomat: Season 4
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$193
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
The Diplomat: Season 4
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$393
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
The Diplomat: Season 4
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
The Diplomat: Season 4
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

East of Eden: Limited Series
3.9%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 13%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
East of Eden: Limited Series
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$302
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
East of Eden: Limited Series
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
East of Eden: Limited Series
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
East of Eden: Limited Series
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$721
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

TYSON: Limited Series
2.2%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 6%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
TYSON: Limited Series
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$346
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
TYSON: Limited Series
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$685
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
TYSON: Limited Series
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
TYSON: Limited Series
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$155
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Love Is Blind: Boston
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Love Is Blind: Boston
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Polymarket
The New Stanford Prison Experiment
1.5%
Kalshi 1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 2%polled, 19s agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
The New Stanford Prison Experiment
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$565
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
The New Stanford Prison Experiment
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$233
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
The New Stanford Prison Experiment
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$104
Trade this on Kalshi
Spike: Season 1
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Spike: Season 1
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 7 more outcomes
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
1%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$461
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Che: Shot in Minnesota
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Che: Shot in Minnesota
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Che: Shot in Minnesota
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
FROM: Season 1
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
FROM: Season 1
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$345
Trade this on Polymarket
The New Stanford Prison Experiment: Season 1
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
The New Stanford Prison Experiment: Season 1
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$118
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Nobody Wants This: Season 3 on Kalshi at 20¢, sell on Polymarket at 61¢ (4100 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: netflix.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Netflix, Netflix
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Nobody Wants This: Season 3
  • Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
  • Below: Limited Series

Live prices for Nobody Wants This: Season 3

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (October 27)". Nobody Wants This: Season 3 leads at 33.9%. Next is Love Is Blind: S11: Boston at 33.7%. $28K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 28, 2026.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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