The Prediction Markets

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Closed
Mar 31, 2026
Traded
$33K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Mar 31, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 205 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Trap House
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 4932 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trap House
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 205 d ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nobody 2
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 4932 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nobody 2
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 205 d ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jurassic World Rebirth
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 4932 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jurassic World Rebirth
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 205 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
The Captive
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 4932 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Captive
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 205 d ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$804
Trade this on Polymarket
Trolls
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 4932 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trolls
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 205 d ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jurassic World: Dominion
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 4932 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jurassic World: Dominion
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 205 d ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4932 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 205 d ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$790
Trade this on Polymarket
KPop Demon Hunters
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4932 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
KPop Demon Hunters
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 205 d ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Trap House
  • Nobody 2
  • Jurassic World Rebirth

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?". Trap House last traded at 0.9%. Next is Nobody 2 at 0.7%. $33K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 31, 2026.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, March 31, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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