The Prediction Markets

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 27)

Closes
Oct 28, 2026, in 4 days
Traded
$14K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

TYSON: Limited Series 89%

Next is The Diplomat: Season 4 at 87%. The venues differ most on Sacrifice (Polymarket 1.3%, Kalshi 8%), a 6.7-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
TYSON: Limited Series
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
TYSON: Limited Series
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Kalshi
The Diplomat: Season 4
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Diplomat: Season 4
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
AnimalsArb
68.6%
Polymarket 95.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 38%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 87%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Animals
Last price
95.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
96.7¢
Sell Yes
94.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Animals
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Animals
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$502
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 53¢ and selling on Polymarket at 94.5¢ nets 4150 bps before fees.

East of Eden: Limited Series
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
East of Eden: Limited Series
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
8%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacrifice
6.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sacrifice
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sacrifice
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.

Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
5.1%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$218
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.

Below: Limited Series
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below: Limited Series
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$116
Trade this on Kalshi
Corpse Bride
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Corpse Bride
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$757
Trade this on Kalshi
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 22 more outcomes
Evil Dead Burn
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Evil Dead Burn
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
The New Stanford Prison Experiment
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
The New Stanford Prison Experiment
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$233
Trade this on Kalshi
Gladiator II
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gladiator II
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Doing Life
1.1%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Doing Life
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Doing Life
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Doing Life
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Ice Age: Collision Course
1.1%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ice Age: Collision Course
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age: Collision Course
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age: Collision Course
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$257
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
1.1%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$337
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Ice Age
1%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ice Age
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Volume
$136
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$372
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Anyone But You
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anyone But You
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$257
Trade this on Kalshi
Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ice Age: Continental Drift
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age: Continental Drift
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
Ice Age: The Meltdown
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age: The Meltdown
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Spike: Season 1
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Spike: Season 1
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
The Breadwinner
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Breadwinner
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Twilight
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Twilight
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$264
Trade this on Kalshi
UNABOMBER
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
UNABOMBER
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$177
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
UNABOMBER
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Primate
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Primate
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$277
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Animals on Kalshi at 53¢, sell on Polymarket at 94.5¢ (4150 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: netflix.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Netflix, Netflix
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • TYSON: Limited Series
  • The Diplomat: Season 4
  • Animals

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list TYSON: Limited Series for this event.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 27)". TYSON: Limited Series leads at 89%. Next is The Diplomat: Season 4 at 87%. $14K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 28, 2026.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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