The Prediction Markets

What will be the top global Netflix show this week? (October 27)

Closes
Oct 28, 2026, in 3 days
Traded
$45K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Animals 99%

Next is Love Is Blind: S11: Boston at 61.3%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Animals
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 20s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Animals
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$996
Trade this on Kalshi
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
61.3%
Kalshi 81%polled, 20s agoKalshi 2%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Below: Limited SeriesArb
37%
Polymarket 73%polled, 20s agoKalshi 7%polled, 20s agoKalshi 61%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Below: Limited Series
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$925
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below: Limited Series
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Below: Limited Series
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$635
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 7¢ and selling on Polymarket at 54¢ nets 4700 bps before fees.

Nobody Wants This: Season 3
12%
Polymarket 22.2%polled, 20s agoKalshi 11%polled, 20s agoKalshi 4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
Last price
22.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$304
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 11¢.

The Diplomat: Season 4
9.4%
Polymarket 7.1%polled, 20s agoKalshi 4%polled, 20s agoKalshi 22%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Diplomat: Season 4
Last price
7.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$205
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
The Diplomat: Season 4
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$398
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
The Diplomat: Season 4
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

East of Eden: Limited Series
8.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1%polled, 20s agoKalshi 24%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
East of Eden: Limited Series
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
East of Eden: Limited Series
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
East of Eden: Limited Series
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
4.5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 20s agoKalshi 3%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Corpse Bride
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Corpse Bride
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$757
Trade this on Kalshi
Doing Life
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Doing Life
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$260
Trade this on Kalshi
TYSON: Limited Series
2.1%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1%polled, 20s agoKalshi 6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
TYSON: Limited Series
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$186
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
TYSON: Limited Series
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$737
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
TYSON: Limited Series
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Show 18 more outcomes
The New Stanford Prison Experiment
1.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoKalshi 2%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
The New Stanford Prison Experiment
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$640
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
The New Stanford Prison Experiment
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$233
Trade this on Kalshi
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
1.2%
Polymarket 1%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$585
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$137
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Anyone But You
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anyone But You
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$257
Trade this on Kalshi
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$73
Trade this on Kalshi
Ice Age
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$372
Trade this on Kalshi
Ice Age: Collision Course
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age: Collision Course
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$257
Trade this on Kalshi
Ice Age: Continental Drift
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age: Continental Drift
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$337
Trade this on Kalshi
Ice Age: The Meltdown
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age: The Meltdown
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Che: Shot in Minnesota
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Che: Shot in Minnesota
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$171
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$461
Trade this on Kalshi
Spike: Season 1
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Spike: Season 1
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UNABOMBER
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
UNABOMBER
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$339
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
FROM: Season 1
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
FROM: Season 1
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Polymarket
Love Is Blind: Boston
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Love Is Blind: Boston
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$185
Trade this on Polymarket
The New Stanford Prison Experiment: Season 1
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
The New Stanford Prison Experiment: Season 1
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$189
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Below: Limited Series on Kalshi at 7¢, sell on Polymarket at 54¢ (4700 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: netflix.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Netflix, Netflix
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Animals
  • Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
  • Below: Limited Series

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Animals for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will be the top global Netflix show this week? (October 27)". Animals leads at 99%. Next is Love Is Blind: S11: Boston at 61.3%. $45K has traded across 28 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 28, 2026.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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