The Prediction Markets

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Closed
Apr 7, 2026
Traded
$24K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 7, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 198 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Anaconda
99.5%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4765 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Anaconda
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 198 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
28 Years Later: The Bone Temple
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4765 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
28 Years Later: The Bone Temple
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 198 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4765 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 198 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$823
Trade this on Polymarket
KPop Demon Hunters
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4765 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
KPop Demon Hunters
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 198 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$844
Trade this on Polymarket
Minions: The Rise of Gru
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4765 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Minions: The Rise of Gru
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 198 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$325
Trade this on Polymarket
Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4765 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 198 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$524
Trade this on Polymarket
Sisu: Road to Revenge
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4765 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sisu: Road to Revenge
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 198 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$913
Trade this on Polymarket
The Bad Guardian
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4765 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Bad Guardian
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 198 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$300
Trade this on Polymarket
The Bad Guys 2
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4765 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Bad Guys 2
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 198 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$386
Trade this on Polymarket
The Creator
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4765 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Creator
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 198 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$276
Trade this on Polymarket
The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4765 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 198 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
War Machine
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4765 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
War Machine
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 198 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Anaconda
  • 28 Years Later: The Bone Temple
  • Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?". Anaconda last traded at 99.5%. Next is 28 Years Later: The Bone Temple at 0.1%. $24K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 7, 2026.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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