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What the markets expect
Gladiator II 55.5%
Next is Animals at 52.1%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Gladiator II55.5%55.5%54¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed57¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Gladiator II55.5%Polymarket 55.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Gladiator II
55.5%
55.5%
54¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
57¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Gladiator II
55.5%
Polymarket 55.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gladiator II
- Last price
- 55.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $189
AnimalsArb52.1%37.5%36¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, just now87%83¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 min ago39¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $256 (2.56x)AnimalsArb52.1%Polymarket 37.5%polled, just nowKalshi 39%polled, just nowKalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 87%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
AnimalsArb
52.1%
37.5%
36¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, just now
87%
83¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
39¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
AnimalsArb
52.1%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, just nowKalshi 39%polled, just nowKalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 87%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Animals
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $877
Kalshi
- Contract
- Animals
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Animals
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $447
Kalshi
- Contract
- Animals
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $657
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 39¢ and selling on Kalshi at 83¢ nets 4400 bps before fees.
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex11%Not listed3%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex11%Kalshi 9%polled, just nowKalshi 21%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
11%
Not listed
3%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
11%
Kalshi 9%polled, just nowKalshi 21%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $500
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $23
Sacrifice4.5%1.1%0.2¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now1%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Sacrifice4.5%Polymarket 1.1%polled, just nowKalshi 8%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Sacrifice
4.5%
1.1%
0.2¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
1%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Sacrifice
4.5%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, just nowKalshi 8%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sacrifice
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $73
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sacrifice
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sacrifice
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $458
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.
Corpse Bride4%Not listed4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Corpse Bride4%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Corpse Bride
4%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Corpse Bride
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corpse Bride
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $757
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love2.9%0.7%0.3¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love2.9%Polymarket 0.7%polled, just nowKalshi 6%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
2.9%
0.7%
0.3¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
2.9%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, just nowKalshi 6%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $150
Kalshi
- Contract
- Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $218
Kalshi
- Contract
- Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $164
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.
Twilight1.8%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Twilight1.8%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Twilight
1.8%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Twilight
1.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Twilight
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $264
Kalshi
- Contract
- Twilight
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Doing Life1%1.2%0.3¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now1%— bid, 18¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Doing Life1%Polymarket 1.2%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Doing Life
1%
1.2%
0.3¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
1%
— bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Doing Life
1%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Doing Life
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $40
Kalshi
- Contract
- Doing Life
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Doing Life
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $799
Kalshi
- Contract
- Doing Life
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $252
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.
The Breadwinner1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)The Breadwinner1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
The Breadwinner
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
The Breadwinner
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Breadwinner
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Breadwinner
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $192
Anyone But You1%Not listed1%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Anyone But You1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Anyone But You
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Anyone But You
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anyone But You
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $257
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Ice Age1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ice Age1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ice Age
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ice Age
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ice Age
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $98
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ice Age
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $98
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ice Age
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $372
Ice Age: Collision Course1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ice Age: Collision Course1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ice Age: Collision Course
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ice Age: Collision Course
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ice Age: Collision Course
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $98
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ice Age: Collision Course
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $98
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ice Age: Collision Course
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $257
Ice Age: Continental Drift1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ice Age: Continental Drift1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Age: Continental Drift
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Age: Continental Drift
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ice Age: Continental Drift
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $252
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $337
Ice Age: The Meltdown1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ice Age: The Meltdown1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Age: The Meltdown
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Age: The Meltdown
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ice Age: The Meltdown
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $252
The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $192
UNABOMBER1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)UNABOMBER1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
UNABOMBER
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
UNABOMBER
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UNABOMBER
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $177
Kalshi
- Contract
- UNABOMBER
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $131
Kalshi
- Contract
- UNABOMBER
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $252
Primate0.8%0.8%0.3¢ bid, 1.3¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed1.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)Primate0.8%Polymarket 0.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Primate
0.8%
0.8%
0.3¢ bid, 1.3¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
1.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Primate
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Primate
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,692 (76.9x)
- Volume
- $294
Evil Dead Burn0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Evil Dead Burn0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Evil Dead Burn
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Evil Dead Burn
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Evil Dead Burn
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $430
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Animals on Polymarket at 39¢, sell on Kalshi at 83¢ (4400 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: netflix.com
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Gladiator II
- Animals
- Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list Gladiator II for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (October 27)". Gladiator II leads at 55.5%. Next is Animals at 52.1%. $16K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 28, 2026.
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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