The Prediction Markets

What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 27)

Closes
Oct 28, 2026, in 4 days
Traded
$28K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Love Is Blind: Boston 30.5%

Next is Nobody Wants This: Season 3 at 27.3%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Love Is Blind: Boston
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Love Is Blind: Boston
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Polymarket
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
27.3%
Polymarket 25%polled, 51s agoKalshi 33%polled, 51s agoKalshi 48%polled, 51s agoKalshi 3%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
Last price
48%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 24¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 37¢.

Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
24%
Kalshi 28%polled, 51s agoKalshi 43%polled, 51s agoKalshi 1%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$711
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
The Diplomat: Season 4
19.1%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 51s agoKalshi 4%polled, 51s agoKalshi 3%polled, 51s agoKalshi 62%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Diplomat: Season 4
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$719 (7.19x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
The Diplomat: Season 4
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$393
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
The Diplomat: Season 4
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
The Diplomat: Season 4
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Below: Limited SeriesArb
11.7%
Polymarket 3%polled, 51s agoKalshi 4%polled, 51s agoKalshi 4%polled, 51s agoKalshi 36%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Below: Limited Series
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below: Limited Series
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Below: Limited Series
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Below: Limited Series
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 36¢ nets 3110 bps before fees.

East of Eden: Limited Series
11.1%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 51s agoKalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 41%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
East of Eden: Limited Series
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
East of Eden: Limited Series
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
East of Eden: Limited Series
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$721
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
East of Eden: Limited Series
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

The New Stanford Prison Experiment
10.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 39%polled, 51s agoKalshi 2%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
The New Stanford Prison Experiment
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$565
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
The New Stanford Prison Experiment
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
The New Stanford Prison Experiment
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$233
Trade this on Kalshi
FROM: Season 1
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
FROM: Season 1
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
5.5%
Kalshi 4%polled, 51s agoKalshi 13%polled, 51s agoKalshi 1%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$513
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
TYSON: Limited Series
2.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 51s agoKalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 6%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
TYSON: Limited Series
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
TYSON: Limited Series
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$685
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
TYSON: Limited Series
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$155
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
TYSON: Limited Series
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Show 7 more outcomes
The New Stanford Prison Experiment: Season 1
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
The New Stanford Prison Experiment: Season 1
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
1.3%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 51s agoKalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 1.5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Spike: Season 1
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Spike: Season 1
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoKalshi 1%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoKalshi 1%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$461
Trade this on Kalshi
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Che: Shot in Minnesota
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Che: Shot in Minnesota
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Che: Shot in Minnesota
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Below: Limited Series on Polymarket at 4.9¢, sell on Kalshi at 36¢ (3110 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: netflix.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Netflix, Netflix
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Love Is Blind: Boston
  • Nobody Wants This: Season 3
  • Love Is Blind: S11: Boston

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Love Is Blind: Boston for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 27)". Love Is Blind: Boston leads at 30.5%. Next is Nobody Wants This: Season 3 at 27.3%. $28K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 28, 2026.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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