The Prediction Markets

What will Boeing say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Jan 25, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
3 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Space 81.5%

Next is PAC-3 / PAC 3 at 75%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Space
81.5%
Kalshi 81.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Space
Last price
81.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Trade this on Kalshi
PAC-3 / PAC 3
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
PAC-3 / PAC 3
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
NASA
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
NASA
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
China
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
China
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Starliner
50.5%
Kalshi 50.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Starliner
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
F-47
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
F-47
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$170
Trade this on Kalshi
Wide-Body
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wide-Body
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$215
Trade this on Kalshi
Archer
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Archer
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$74
Trade this on Kalshi
Tariff
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tariff
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$202
Trade this on Kalshi
Iran / Hormuz
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iran / Hormuz
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 4 more outcomes
Airbus
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Airbus
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Kalshi
Dividend
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dividend
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$19
Trade this on Kalshi
Philippine Airlines
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Philippine Airlines
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Artemis
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Artemis
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: The Boeing Company Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Space
  • PAC-3 / PAC 3
  • NASA

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Boeing say during their next earnings call?". Space leads at 81.5%. Next is PAC-3 / PAC 3 at 75%. $1K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 25, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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