The Prediction Markets

What will Chipotle say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Jan 26, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Inflation 96%

Next is Chipotle Lane / Chipotlane at 86%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Inflation
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inflation
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Chipotle Lane / Chipotlane
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chipotle Lane / Chipotlane
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Honey Chicken
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Honey Chicken
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$46
Trade this on Kalshi
Iran / Middle East
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iran / Middle East
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$380
Trade this on Kalshi
Family Meal
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Family Meal
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Al Pastor
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Al Pastor
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Kalshi
Supply Chain
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Supply Chain
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Cilantro Lime
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cilantro Lime
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$28
Trade this on Kalshi
Chipotle Kitchen
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chipotle Kitchen
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$964
Trade this on Kalshi
Boorito
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Boorito
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 7 more outcomes
Carne Asada
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Carne Asada
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$141
Trade this on Kalshi
Headwind
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Headwind
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tariff
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tariff
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Automated / Automation
23.5%
Kalshi 23.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Automated / Automation
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tailwind
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tailwind
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Share Purchase
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Share Purchase
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Autocado
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Autocado
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Inflation
  • Chipotle Lane / Chipotlane
  • Honey Chicken

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Chipotle say during their next earnings call?". Inflation leads at 96%. Next is Chipotle Lane / Chipotlane at 86%. $2K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 26, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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