The Prediction Markets

What will Christopher Nolan say during 60 Minutes?

Closed
Jun 1, 2026
Traded
$13K
Venues
Kalshi
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 160 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Odyssey
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 3846 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Odyssey
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Homer
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 3846 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Homer
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Actor / Cast
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 3846 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Actor / Cast
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$819
Trade this on Kalshi
Trojan
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 3846 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trojan
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$943
Trade this on Kalshi
Damon
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 3846 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Damon
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hollywood
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 3846 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hollywood
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$265
Trade this on Kalshi
Interstellar
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 3846 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Interstellar
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$638
Trade this on Kalshi
Oppenheimer
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 3846 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oppenheimer
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$779
Trade this on Kalshi
Music / Soundtrack
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 3846 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Music / Soundtrack
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$226
Trade this on Kalshi
Elon / Musk
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3846 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Elon / Musk
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$246
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
Rap / Rapper / Rapping
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3846 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rap / Rapper / Rapping
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Zendaya
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3846 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zendaya
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$788
Trade this on Kalshi
Oscar / Oscars
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3846 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oscar / Oscars
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$428
Trade this on Kalshi
Travis Scott
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 3846 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Travis Scott
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$275
Trade this on Kalshi
Event does not qualify
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3846 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Event does not qualify
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$978
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange)

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Odyssey
  • Homer
  • Actor / Cast

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "What will Christopher Nolan say during 60 Minutes?". Odyssey last traded at 97%. Next is Homer at 77%. $13K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jun 1, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More other markets

See all other markets