The Prediction Markets

What will Ford say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Jan 26, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Electric vehicle / EV (3+ times) 95%

Next is Tariff at 95%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Electric vehicle / EV (3+ times)
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Electric vehicle / EV (3+ times)
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$201
Trade this on Kalshi
Tariff
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tariff
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Headwind
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Headwind
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Recall / Recalled
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Recall / Recalled
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Market Share
71.5%
Kalshi 71.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Market Share
Last price
71.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Iran / Middle East
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iran / Middle East
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Oakville
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oakville
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$24
Trade this on Kalshi
Novelis (3+ times)
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Novelis (3+ times)
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$210
Trade this on Kalshi
USMCA
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
USMCA
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Apple
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Apple
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 6 more outcomes
BlueCruise
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
BlueCruise
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Kalshi
Geely
57.5%
Kalshi 57.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Geely
Last price
57.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tailwind
52.5%
Kalshi 52.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tailwind
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Trade this on Kalshi
China
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
China
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
AI / Artificial Intelligence
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Autonomy / Autonomous
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Autonomy / Autonomous
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Ford Motor Company Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Electric vehicle / EV (3+ times)
  • Tariff
  • Headwind

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Ford say during their next earnings call?". Electric vehicle / EV (3+ times) leads at 95%. Next is Tariff at 95%. $1K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 26, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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