The Prediction Markets

What will Hilton say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Jan 25, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
3 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times) 95%

Next is Honor at 80%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times)
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times)
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$933
Trade this on Kalshi
Honor
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Honor
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Kalshi
Spark
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Spark
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$610
Trade this on Kalshi
India
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
India
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Kalshi
Competition
60.5%
Kalshi 60.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Competition
Last price
60.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Graduate / Undergraduate
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Graduate / Undergraduate
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Navan
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Navan
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
LivSmart
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
LivSmart
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$114
Trade this on Kalshi
ICE / Border
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
ICE / Border
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Tariff
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tariff
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Olympic / Olympics
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Olympic / Olympics
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times)
  • Honor
  • Spark

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Hilton say during their next earnings call?". AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times) leads at 95%. Next is Honor at 80%. $2K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 25, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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