The Prediction Markets

What will Hims say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Nov 16, 2026, in 24 days
Traded
$13K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Testosterone 95%

Next is Australia at 91%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Testosterone
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Testosterone
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Australia
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Australia
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
FDA
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
FDA
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Longevity
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Longevity
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Peptide
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Peptide
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lab Testing
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lab Testing
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Perimenopause / Menopause
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Perimenopause / Menopause
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Wegovy
87.5%
Kalshi 87.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wegovy
Last price
87.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Eucalyptus
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eucalyptus
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$656
Trade this on Kalshi
Canada / Canadian
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Canada / Canadian
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$112
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 9 more outcomes
Wearable
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wearable
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Europe
68.5%
Kalshi 68.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Europe
Last price
68.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Collaboration
66.5%
Kalshi 66.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Collaboration
Last price
66.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Zava
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zava
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Galen
31.5%
Kalshi 31.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Galen
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cancer
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cancer
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Regulation
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Regulation
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
Amazon
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Amazon
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$39
Trade this on Kalshi
Microdose / Microdosing
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Microdose / Microdosing
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Hims & Hers Health, Inc. Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Testosterone
  • Australia
  • FDA

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Hims say during their next earnings call?". Testosterone leads at 95%. Next is Australia at 91%. $13K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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