The Prediction Markets

What will Intuit say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Feb 17, 2027, in 4 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
2 h ago
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What the markets expect

Desktop 92%

Next is QuickBooks Online at 89%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Desktop
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Desktop
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$277
Trade this on Kalshi
QuickBooks Online
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
QuickBooks Online
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$205
Trade this on Kalshi
TurboTax Live
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
TurboTax Live
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Kalshi
DIY
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
DIY
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$156
Trade this on Kalshi
Agentic
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Agentic
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
IRS
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
IRS
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$84
Trade this on Kalshi
OpenAI
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
OpenAI
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
QuickBooks Advanced
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
QuickBooks Advanced
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Anthropic
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anthropic
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Restructuring
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Restructuring
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 3 more outcomes
Pro Tax
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pro Tax
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
ARPU
28.5%
Kalshi 28.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
ARPU
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Intuit Assist
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Intuit Assist
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Intuit Investor Relations

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Desktop
  • QuickBooks Online
  • TurboTax Live

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Intuit say during their next earnings call?". Desktop leads at 92%. Next is QuickBooks Online at 89%. $1K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 17, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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