The Prediction Markets

What will JD Vance say during his Veterans Day remarks?

Closes
Nov 25, 2026, in 14 days
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
4 min ago
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What the markets expect

Marine 86%

Next is Peace at 37%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Marine
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marine
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Peace
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Peace
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Gold Star
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gold Star
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Iraq
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iraq
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
250
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
250
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Afghanistan
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Afghanistan
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Democrat
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Democrat
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ukraine / Ukrainian
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ukraine / Ukrainian
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Kalshi
China / Chinese
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
China / Chinese
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Inflation
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inflation
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 7 more outcomes
Iran / Iranian
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iran / Iranian
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
America First
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
America First
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
National Security
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
National Security
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Biden
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Biden
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
AI / Artificial Intelligence
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Event does not qualify
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Event does not qualify
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Marine
  • Peace
  • Gold Star

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will JD Vance say during his Veterans Day remarks?". Marine leads at 86%. Next is Peace at 37%. $2K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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