The Prediction Markets

What will Klarna say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Feb 15, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

Profitability 79%

Next is Delinquency at 76%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Profitability
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Profitability
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Delinquency
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Delinquency
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Walmart
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Walmart
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
JP Morgan Payment
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
JP Morgan Payment
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Sweden
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sweden
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tailwind
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tailwind
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Headwind
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Headwind
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Credit Quality
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Credit Quality
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Kalshi
Apple Pay
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Apple Pay
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$92
Trade this on Kalshi
AI / Artificial Intelligence
37.5%
Kalshi 37.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 6 more outcomes
PriceRunner
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
PriceRunner
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
Banking License
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Banking License
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$65
Trade this on Kalshi
Gemini
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gemini
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Southwest Airlines
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Southwest Airlines
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
Headcount
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Headcount
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Inflation
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inflation
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Klarna Group plc Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Profitability
  • Delinquency
  • Walmart

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Klarna say during their next earnings call?". Profitability leads at 79%. Next is Delinquency at 76%. $3K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 15, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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