The Prediction Markets

What will Kroger say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Mar 31, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$17K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

GLP-1 83%

Next is Produce at 82%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
GLP-1
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
GLP-1
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Produce
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Produce
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$511
Trade this on Kalshi
AI / Artificial Intelligence
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$843
Trade this on Kalshi
Giant Eagle
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Giant Eagle
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Kalshi
Shrink / Theft
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shrink / Theft
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Instacart
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Instacart
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$106
Trade this on Kalshi
Deflation
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deflation
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$157
Trade this on Kalshi
SNAP / Food Stamp
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
Contract
SNAP / Food Stamp
Last price
65%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$228
Trade this on Kalshi
Inflation Reduction Act / IRA
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inflation Reduction Act / IRA
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tariff
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tariff
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$335
Trade this on Kalshi
Divestiture
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Divestiture
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: The Kroger Co. Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • GLP-1
  • Produce
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Kroger say during their next earnings call?". GLP-1 leads at 83%. Next is Produce at 82%. $17K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 31, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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