The Prediction Markets

What will Lyft say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Feb 3, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
2 h ago
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What the markets expect

Waymo 93%

Next is Nashville at 89%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Waymo
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Waymo
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$617
Trade this on Kalshi
Nashville
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nashville
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$329
Trade this on Kalshi
Expansion
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Expansion
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Innovation
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Innovation
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Safety
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Safety
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$260
Trade this on Kalshi
DoorDash
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
DoorDash
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Kalshi
Revenue
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Revenue
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$204
Trade this on Kalshi
Competition
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Competition
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Baidu
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baidu
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
NYC / New York
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
NYC / New York
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$76
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 8 more outcomes
International
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
International
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$498
Trade this on Kalshi
Membership
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Membership
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$302
Trade this on Kalshi
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Kalshi
Nvidia
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nvidia
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Kalshi
Mobileye
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mobileye
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Kalshi
Anthropic / Claude
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anthropic / Claude
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Iran / Middle East
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iran / Middle East
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Kalshi
Tariff
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tariff
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$174
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Lyft, Inc. Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Waymo
  • Nashville
  • Expansion

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Lyft say during their next earnings call?". Waymo leads at 93%. Next is Nashville at 89%. $3K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 3, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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