The Prediction Markets

What will Mamdani say during Fox News Sunday?

Closes
Nov 22, 2026, in 15 days
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
6 h ago
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What the markets expect

Afford / Affordable / Affordability 88%

Next is Trump / President at 83%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 6 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$62
Trade this on Kalshi
Trump / President
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trump / President
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$324
Trade this on Kalshi
Grocery
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Grocery
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$104
Trade this on Kalshi
Socialist / Socialism
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Socialist / Socialism
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$312
Trade this on Kalshi
ICE
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
ICE
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Tax
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tax
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Childcare
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Childcare
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Kalshi
Budget / Deficit
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Budget / Deficit
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Free Bus / Fast & Free
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Free Bus / Fast & Free
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Kalshi
El-Sayed
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
El-Sayed
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 8 more outcomes
Immigrant / Immigration
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Immigrant / Immigration
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
NYPD
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
NYPD
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Kalshi
Israel / Israeli
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Israel / Israeli
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Billionaire
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Billionaire
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$28
Trade this on Kalshi
Talarico
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Talarico
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$19
Trade this on Kalshi
Iran / Iranian
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iran / Iranian
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Data Center
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Data Center
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Event does not qualify
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Event does not qualify
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox News

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability
  • Trump / President
  • Grocery

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Mamdani say during Fox News Sunday?". Afford / Affordable / Affordability leads at 88%. Next is Trump / President at 83%. $1K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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