The Prediction Markets

What will McDonald's say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Nov 18, 2026, in 26 days
Traded
$11K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Loyalty 83%

Next is McValue (3+ times) at 81%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Loyalty
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Loyalty
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
McValue (3+ times)
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
McValue (3+ times)
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Red Bull
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Red Bull
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$242
Trade this on Kalshi
Dividend
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dividend
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Monopoly
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Monopoly
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Happy Meal
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Happy Meal
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Competition
71.5%
Kalshi 71.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Competition
Last price
71.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Delivery
67.5%
Kalshi 67.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Delivery
Last price
67.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Trade this on Kalshi
World Cup
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
World Cup
Last price
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Kalshi
McCafé
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
McCafé
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$184
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 10 more outcomes
McCrispy
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
McCrispy
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Kalshi
Supply Chain
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Supply Chain
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$138
Trade this on Kalshi
Snack Wrap
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Snack Wrap
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Big Arch
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Big Arch
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$451
Trade this on Kalshi
Iran / Middle East
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iran / Middle East
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Revenue
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Revenue
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Soccer / Football
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Soccer / Football
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$335
Trade this on Kalshi
Caesar
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Caesar
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Kalshi
DoorDash
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
DoorDash
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$155
Trade this on Kalshi
Tariff
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tariff
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: McDonald's Corporation Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Loyalty
  • McValue (3+ times)
  • Red Bull

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will McDonald's say during their next earnings call?". Loyalty leads at 83%. Next is McValue (3+ times) at 81%. $11K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 18, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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