The Prediction Markets

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in October 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$117K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

660 53.5%

Next is 680 at 51%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
660
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
660
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
680
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
680
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
700
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
700
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
560
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
560
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
540
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
540
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
600
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
600
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
620
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
620
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
740
32.9%
Polymarket 32.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 63.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $157 (1.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
740
Last price
32.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63.8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$157 (1.57x)
Volume
$836
Trade this on Polymarket
580
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
580
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Polymarket
720
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
720
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
760
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
760
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
780
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
780
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
860
5.9%
Polymarket 5.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 10.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $926 (9.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
860
Last price
5.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.8¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$926 (9.26x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
840
5.3%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
840
Last price
5.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
880
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
880
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
800
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
800
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
820
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
820
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
900
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
900
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 660
  • 680
  • 700

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in October 2026?". 660 leads at 53.5%. Next is 680 at 51%. $117K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2026.

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in October 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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