The Prediction Markets

What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit in October 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$6K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

900 70.5%

Next is 840 at 65.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
900
70.5%
Polymarket 70.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
900
Last price
70.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
840
65.5%
Polymarket 65.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
840
Last price
65.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$269
Trade this on Polymarket
660
48.9%
Polymarket 48.9%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 96.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
660
Last price
48.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96.7¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$91
Trade this on Polymarket
1,320
40.2%
Polymarket 40.2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 79.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $126 (1.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,320
Last price
40.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$126 (1.26x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Polymarket
1,500
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 71.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,500
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
960
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
960
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$177
Trade this on Polymarket
780
22.1%
Polymarket 22.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
780
Last price
22.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
17.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$335
Trade this on Polymarket
720
14.2%
Polymarket 14.2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 24.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $405 (4.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
720
Last price
14.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24.7¢
Sell Yes
3.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$405 (4.05x)
Volume
$194
Trade this on Polymarket
600
13.4%
Polymarket 13.4%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 25.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $389 (3.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
600
Last price
13.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25.7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$389 (3.89x)
Volume
$90
Trade this on Polymarket
1,020
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,020
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 7 more outcomes
1,080
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,080
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Polymarket
540
6.3%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 11.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $870 (8.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
540
Last price
6.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$870 (8.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
1,440
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,440
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,351 (13.5x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
1,380
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,380
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
1,140
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,140
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
1,260
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,260
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
1,200
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,200
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$136
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 900
  • 840
  • 660

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit in October 2026?". 900 leads at 70.5%. Next is 840 at 65.5%. $6K has traded across 17 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2026.

What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit in October 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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