The Prediction Markets

What will Mike Johnson say during Fox News: Saturday in America?

Closes
Nov 28, 2026, in 14 days
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Election / Midterm 92%

Next is Democrat at 76%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Election / Midterm
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Election / Midterm
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Democrat
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Democrat
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tax Cut / Cut Tax
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tax Cut / Cut Tax
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$144
Trade this on Kalshi
Border
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
Border
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$294
Trade this on Kalshi
Shutdown / Shut Down
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shutdown / Shut Down
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$153
Trade this on Kalshi
Jeffries
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeffries
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$114
Trade this on Kalshi
Poll / Pollster
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Poll / Pollster
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Iran / Iranian
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iran / Iranian
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Kalshi
Socialism / Socialist
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Socialism / Socialist
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 7 more outcomes
Trump (3+ times)
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trump (3+ times)
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$49
Trade this on Kalshi
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
China / Chinese
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
China / Chinese
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Kalshi
Healthcare
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Healthcare
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Inflation
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inflation
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
AI / Artificial Intelligence
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Event does not qualify
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Event does not qualify
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Election / Midterm
  • Democrat
  • Tax Cut / Cut Tax

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Mike Johnson say during Fox News: Saturday in America?". Election / Midterm leads at 92%. Next is Democrat at 76%. $3K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 28, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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