The Prediction Markets

What will Mike Sicilia say during Oracle AI World keynote?

Closes
Nov 9, 2026, in 17 days
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Fusion Claw 84%

Next is Health / Healthy at 80%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Fusion Claw
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fusion Claw
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Health / Healthy
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Health / Healthy
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Oracle Cloud Infrastructure / OCI
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oracle Cloud Infrastructure / OCI
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Kalshi
Spectrum
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Spectrum
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$242
Trade this on Kalshi
Automation
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Automation
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$892
Trade this on Kalshi
Multicloud / Multi-cloud
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
Multicloud / Multi-cloud
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
AI Agent Studio
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
Contract
AI Agent Studio
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
NVIDIA
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
NVIDIA
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
QSRP
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
QSRP
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Sovereign
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sovereign
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
OpenAI / ChatGPT
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
OpenAI / ChatGPT
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Debt
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Debt
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Backlog
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Backlog
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stargate
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stargate
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Event does not qualify
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Event does not qualify
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Oracle Corporation Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Fusion Claw
  • Health / Healthy
  • Oracle Cloud Infrastructure / OCI

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Mike Sicilia say during Oracle AI World keynote?". Fusion Claw leads at 84%. Next is Health / Healthy at 80%. $2K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 9, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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