The Prediction Markets

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

FinalKickoff
Traded
$196K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
3.00
93.4%
Polymarket 93.4%polled, 3831 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.00
Last price
93.4%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
88.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$45K
Trade this on Polymarket
2.80
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 3831 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.80
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
3.20
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 3831 h agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.20
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Polymarket
2.70
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 3831 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.70
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
3.40
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 3831 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.40
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
3.60
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 3831 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.60
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
2.60
6.9%
Polymarket 6.9%polled, 3831 h agoBest Yes 9.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.60
Last price
6.9%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
9.5¢
Sell Yes
4.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,053 (10.5x)
Volume
$72K
Trade this on Polymarket
2.50
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 3831 h agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.50
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
2.00
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 3831 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.00
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
2.20
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 3831 h agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.20
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 6 more outcomes
4.00
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 3831 h agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
4.00
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
1.80
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 3831 h agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.80
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
3.80
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 3831 h agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.80
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
2.40
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 3831 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.40
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
4.20
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 3831 h agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
4.20
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
1.60
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3831 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.60
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 3.00
  • 2.80
  • 3.20

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?". 3.00 last traded at 93.4%. Next is 2.80 at 49.5%. $196K has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jun 1, 2026.

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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