The Prediction Markets

What will NVIDIA say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Dec 2, 2026, in 40 days
Traded
$11K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Rubin (3+ times) 92%

Next is Hyperscaler at 87%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Rubin (3+ times)
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rubin (3+ times)
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hyperscaler
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hyperscaler
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cosmos
73.5%
Kalshi 73.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cosmos
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Omniverse
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Omniverse
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Kalshi
DSX
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
DSX
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Rent / Renting
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rent / Renting
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Gaming
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gaming
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Isaac
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Isaac
Last price
48%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
Self Driving
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Self Driving
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Taiwan
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Taiwan
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$266
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 9 more outcomes
Humanoid
38.5%
Kalshi 38.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Humanoid
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dividend (2+ times)
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dividend (2+ times)
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$296
Trade this on Kalshi
TSMC
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
TSMC
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Kalshi
Automation
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Automation
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$292
Trade this on Kalshi
Domestic
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Domestic
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hermes
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hermes
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
H20
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
H20
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$126
Trade this on Kalshi
Trump
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trump
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$148
Trade this on Kalshi
Tariff
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tariff
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: NVIDIA Corporation Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Rubin (3+ times)
  • Hyperscaler
  • Cosmos

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will NVIDIA say during their next earnings call?". Rubin (3+ times) leads at 92%. Next is Hyperscaler at 87%. $11K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 2, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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