The Prediction Markets

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

Closes
Jan 1, 2028, in 15 months
Traded
$21K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

OAI 43.5%

Next is CGPT at 25.6%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
OAI
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OAI
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
CGPT
25.6%
Polymarket 25.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $198 (1.98x)
Polymarket
Contract
CGPT
Last price
25.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50.6¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$198 (1.98x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
OPAI
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
OPAI
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
OA
23.8%
Polymarket 23.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $215 (2.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
OA
Last price
23.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$215 (2.15x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
AIX
23.4%
Polymarket 23.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $216 (2.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
AIX
Last price
23.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46.4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$216 (2.16x)
Volume
$720
Trade this on Polymarket
AAGI
23.3%
Polymarket 23.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $220 (2.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
AAGI
Last price
23.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$220 (2.20x)
Volume
$571
Trade this on Polymarket
LLM
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
LLM
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
AIGI
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
AIGI
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$696
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • OAI
  • CGPT
  • OPAI

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will OpenAI's public ticker be?". OAI leads at 43.5%. Next is CGPT at 25.6%. $21K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.

This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by OpenAI in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An official announcement from OpenAI that it will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market. If a ticker used by OpenAI in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if OpenAI uses a ticker symbol of $OPAI.A or $OPAIA, this market will resolve to $OPAI). If OpenAI announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $OPAI.A and $OPAI.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until OpenAI's first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order. If OpenAI IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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