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ConnectingBest bid
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Best ask
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What the markets expect
192 76%
Next is 204 at 60%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
19276%76%74¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 2 min ago78¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $128 (1.28x)19276%Polymarket 76%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
192
76%
76%
74¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
78¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
192
76%
Polymarket 76%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 192
- Last price
- 76%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
20460%60%56¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 2 min ago64¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $156 (1.56x)20460%Polymarket 60%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
204
60%
60%
56¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
64¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
204
60%
Polymarket 60%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 204
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $3K
18057.5%57.5%24¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 2 min ago91¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $110 (1.10x)18057.5%Polymarket 57.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
180
57.5%
57.5%
24¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
91¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
180
57.5%
Polymarket 57.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 180
- Last price
- 57.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
- Volume
- $874
18649.5%49.5%47¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 2 min ago52¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $192 (1.92x)18649.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
186
49.5%
49.5%
47¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
52¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
186
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 186
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $262
24043.1%43.1%0.3¢ bid, 85.9¢ askpolled, 2 min ago85.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $116 (1.16x)24043.1%Polymarket 43.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 85.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
240
43.1%
43.1%
0.3¢ bid, 85.9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
85.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
240
43.1%
Polymarket 43.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 85.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 240
- Last price
- 43.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 85.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $30
21037.5%37.5%32¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 2 min ago43¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $233 (2.33x)21037.5%Polymarket 37.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
210
37.5%
37.5%
32¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
43¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
210
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 210
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $3K
17435%35%8¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 2 min ago62¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $161 (1.61x)17435%Polymarket 35%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
174
35%
35%
8¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
62¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
174
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 174
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $1K
23422.4%22.4%1.1¢ bid, 43.7¢ askpolled, 2 min ago43.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $229 (2.29x)23422.4%Polymarket 22.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 43.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $229 (2.29x)
234
22.4%
22.4%
1.1¢ bid, 43.7¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
43.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $229 (2.29x)
234
22.4%
Polymarket 22.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 43.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $229 (2.29x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 234
- Last price
- 22.4%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 43.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $229 (2.29x)
- Volume
- $5K
21620%20%16¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 2 min ago24¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $417 (4.17x)21620%Polymarket 20%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
216
20%
20%
16¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
24¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
216
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 216
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $6K
22212.5%12.5%9¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 2 min ago16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)22212.5%Polymarket 12.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
222
12.5%
12.5%
9¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
16¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
222
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 222
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $4K
Show 5 more outcomesHide 5 outcomes
1688%8%3¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 2 min ago13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)1688%Polymarket 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
168
8%
8%
3¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
13¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
168
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 168
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $4K
2287%7%5¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 2 min ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)2287%Polymarket 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
228
7%
7%
5¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
228
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 228
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $4K
1623.7%3.7%1¢ bid, 6.3¢ askpolled, 2 min ago6.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)1623.7%Polymarket 3.7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
162
3.7%
3.7%
1¢ bid, 6.3¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
6.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
162
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 162
- Last price
- 3.7%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,587 (15.9x)
- Volume
- $4K
1562.4%2.4%1¢ bid, 3.8¢ askpolled, 2 min ago3.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)1562.4%Polymarket 2.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
156
2.4%
2.4%
1¢ bid, 3.8¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
3.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
156
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 156
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,632 (26.3x)
- Volume
- $3K
1502%2%0.1¢ bid, 3.9¢ askpolled, 2 min ago3.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)1502%Polymarket 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
150
2%
2%
0.1¢ bid, 3.9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
3.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
150
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 150
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,564 (25.6x)
- Volume
- $2K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 192
- 204
- 180
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in October 2026?". 192 leads at 76%. Next is 204 at 60%. $70K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2026.
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in October 2026?
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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