The Prediction Markets

What will Reddit say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Nov 12, 2026, in 20 days
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Traffic 85%

Next is Video at 81%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Traffic
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Traffic
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$89
Trade this on Kalshi
Video
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Video
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Machine Translation
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Machine Translation
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Shopify
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shopify
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Developer
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Developer
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$230
Trade this on Kalshi
Reddit Max
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Reddit Max
Last price
69%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$129
Trade this on Kalshi
Headwind
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
Contract
Headwind
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tailwind
58.5%
Kalshi 58.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tailwind
Last price
58.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Game / Gaming
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Game / Gaming
Last price
56%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Kalshi
Reddit Pro
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Reddit Pro
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$622
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 6 more outcomes
Algorithm
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Algorithm
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$28
Trade this on Kalshi
Google (3+ times)
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Google (3+ times)
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
OpenAI / Open AI
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
OpenAI / Open AI
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Renew / Renewed / Renewal
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Renew / Renewed / Renewal
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Smartly
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Smartly
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$429
Trade this on Kalshi
TikTok
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
TikTok
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Reddit, Inc. Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Traffic
  • Video
  • Machine Translation

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Reddit say during their next earnings call?". Traffic leads at 85%. Next is Video at 81%. $2K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 12, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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