The Prediction Markets

What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in October 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$62K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

95 86.5%

Next is 100 at 73%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
95
86.5%
Polymarket 86.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
95
Last price
86.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$502
Trade this on Polymarket
100
73%
Polymarket 73%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
100
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Trade this on Polymarket
90
67.5%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
90
Last price
67.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
105
59.9%
Polymarket 59.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 79.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $126 (1.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
105
Last price
59.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79.6¢
Sell Yes
40.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$126 (1.26x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
85
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
85
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
110
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
110
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
115
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
115
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
80
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
80
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
120
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
120
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
125
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
125
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
70
7.8%
Polymarket 7.8%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 14.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $690 (6.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
70
Last price
7.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$690 (6.90x)
Volume
$66
Trade this on Polymarket
75
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
75
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Polymarket
130
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
130
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
135
6.4%
Polymarket 6.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 11.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $847 (8.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
135
Last price
6.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$847 (8.47x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
145
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 8.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
145
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,235 (12.3x)
Volume
$801
Trade this on Polymarket
150
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
150
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
140
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
140
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
155
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
155
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 95
  • 100
  • 90

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in October 2026?". 95 leads at 86.5%. Next is 100 at 73%. $62K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2026.

What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in October 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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