The Prediction Markets

What will Robinhood say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Jan 25, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
2 min ago
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What the markets expect

Credit Card 90%

Next is Tokenization at 90%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Credit Card
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Credit Card
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$258
Trade this on Kalshi
Tokenization
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tokenization
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Kalshi
Perp / Perpetual
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Perp / Perpetual
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$251
Trade this on Kalshi
Social (3+ times)
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Social (3+ times)
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Robinhood Chain
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Robinhood Chain
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Retirement (3+ times)
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Retirement (3+ times)
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$316
Trade this on Kalshi
Acquired / Acquisition
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Acquired / Acquisition
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Kalshi
UK / United Kingdom
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
UK / United Kingdom
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$433
Trade this on Kalshi
Agentic (3+ times)
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Agentic (3+ times)
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Blockchain
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Blockchain
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$128
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 6 more outcomes
SIG / Susquehanna
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
SIG / Susquehanna
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$24
Trade this on Kalshi
Bitcoin
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bitcoin
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$134
Trade this on Kalshi
Anthropic / Claude
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anthropic / Claude
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kalshi
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Kalshi
Memecoin
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Memecoin
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$201
Trade this on Kalshi
Convertible
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Convertible
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Robinhood Markets, Inc. Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Credit Card
  • Tokenization
  • Perp / Perpetual

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Robinhood say during their next earnings call?". Credit Card leads at 90%. Next is Tokenization at 90%. $2K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 25, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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