The Prediction Markets

What will Rocket Lab say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Feb 7, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
2 h ago
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What the markets expect

Golden Dome 88%

Next is NASA at 88%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Golden Dome
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden Dome
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
NASA
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
NASA
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$817
Trade this on Kalshi
Reusable
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Reusable
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mars
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mars
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$199
Trade this on Kalshi
Momentum
79.5%
Kalshi 79.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Momentum
Last price
79.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Virginia
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Virginia
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$351
Trade this on Kalshi
Cryogenic
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cryogenic
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Human
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Human
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$152
Trade this on Kalshi
Japan
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Japan
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
SpaceX
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
SpaceX
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 3 more outcomes
Lunar
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lunar
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
Shutdown / Shut Down
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shutdown / Shut Down
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$278
Trade this on Kalshi
Tariff
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tariff
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Rocket Lab Corporation Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Golden Dome
  • NASA
  • Reusable

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Rocket Lab say during their next earnings call?". Golden Dome leads at 88%. Next is NASA at 88%. $2K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 7, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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