Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
144 72.5%
Next is 138 at 50%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
14472.5%72.5%66¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 1 min ago79¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $127 (1.27x)14472.5%Polymarket 72.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
144
72.5%
72.5%
66¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
79¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
144
72.5%
Polymarket 72.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 144
- Last price
- 72.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
13850%50%1¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)13850%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
138
50%
50%
1¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
138
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 138
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
15050%50%44¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 1 min ago56¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $179 (1.79x)15050%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
150
50%
50%
44¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
56¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
150
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 150
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
19250%50%1¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)19250%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
192
50%
50%
1¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
192
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 192
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
18649.5%49.5%1¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 min ago98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)18649.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
186
49.5%
49.5%
1¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
98¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
186
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 186
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
19849.5%49.5%1¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 min ago98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)19849.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
198
49.5%
49.5%
1¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
98¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
198
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 198
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
18049%49%1¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 min ago97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)18049%Polymarket 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
180
49%
49%
1¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
180
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 180
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
20449%49%1¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 min ago97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)20449%Polymarket 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
204
49%
49%
1¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
204
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 204
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
21049%49%1¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 min ago97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)21049%Polymarket 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
210
49%
49%
1¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
210
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 210
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
22248.5%48.5%1¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 1 min ago96¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $104 (1.04x)22248.5%Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
222
48.5%
48.5%
1¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
96¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
222
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 222
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $44
Show 11 more outcomesHide 11 outcomes
10246.5%46.5%1¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 1 min ago92¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $109 (1.09x)10246.5%Polymarket 46.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
102
46.5%
46.5%
1¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
92¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
102
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 102
- Last price
- 46.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
12637%37%31¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 1 min ago43¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $233 (2.33x)12637%Polymarket 37%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
126
37%
37%
31¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
43¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
126
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 126
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $6
15634%34%28¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 1 min ago40¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $250 (2.50x)15634%Polymarket 34%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
156
34%
34%
28¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
40¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
156
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 156
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
12024%24%18¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 1 min ago30¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $333 (3.33x)12024%Polymarket 24%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
120
24%
24%
18¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
30¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
120
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 120
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $102
16223%23%17¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 1 min ago29¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $345 (3.45x)16223%Polymarket 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
162
23%
23%
17¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
29¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
162
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 162
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $372
16815.5%15.5%9¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 1 min ago22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)16815.5%Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
168
15.5%
15.5%
9¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
168
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 168
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $310
11414%14%8¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 1 min ago20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)11414%Polymarket 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
114
14%
14%
8¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
114
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 114
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
21613%13%1¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 1 min ago25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)21613%Polymarket 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
216
13%
13%
1¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
216
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 216
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
22813%13%1¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 1 min ago25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)22813%Polymarket 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
228
13%
13%
1¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
228
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 228
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $60
1749.5%9.5%3¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 1 min ago16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)1749.5%Polymarket 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
174
9.5%
9.5%
3¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
16¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
174
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 174
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $55
1088.5%8.5%3¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 1 min ago14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)1088.5%Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
108
8.5%
8.5%
3¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
108
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 108
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 144
- 138
- 150
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "What will SK hynix (SKHY) hit in October 2026?". 144 leads at 72.5%. Next is 138 at 50%. $3K has traded across 21 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2026.
What will SK hynix (SKHY) hit in October 2026?
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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