The Prediction Markets

What will Smithfield Foods say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Nov 10, 2026, in 18 days
Traded
$4K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Holiday 91%

Next is Inflation at 91%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Holiday
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, just nowBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Holiday
Last price
91%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$418
Trade this on Kalshi
Inflation
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, just nowBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inflation
Last price
91%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$398
Trade this on Kalshi
Automation
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, just nowBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Automation
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Kalshi
Eckrich
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, just nowBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eckrich
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$427
Trade this on Kalshi
Export
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, just nowBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Export
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$615
Trade this on Kalshi
Nathan’s Famous
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, just nowBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nathan’s Famous
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$447
Trade this on Kalshi
Headwind
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, just nowBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Headwind
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$231
Trade this on Kalshi
Sioux Falls
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, just nowBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sioux Falls
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$313
Trade this on Kalshi
Hot Dog
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, just nowBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hot Dog
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$51
Trade this on Kalshi
Tailwind
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, just nowBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tailwind
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 3 more outcomes
Tariff
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, just nowBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tariff
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$203
Trade this on Kalshi
China
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, just nowBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
China
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
Hot Honey
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hot Honey
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$215
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Bloomberg

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Holiday
  • Inflation
  • Automation

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Smithfield Foods say during their next earnings call?". Holiday leads at 91%. Next is Inflation at 91%. $4K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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