The Prediction Markets

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in October 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$123K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Above 65.0% 96%

Next is 148 at 87%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 65.0%
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65.0%
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
148
87%
Polymarket 87%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
148
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$850
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 70.0%
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70.0%
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
60¢
Volume
$400
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 75.0%
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75.0%
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$202
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 85.0%
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85.0%
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$83
Trade this on Kalshi
160
60%
Polymarket 60%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
160
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
152
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
152
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
158
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
158
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
146
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
146
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Polymarket
154
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
154
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 31 more outcomes
142
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
142
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$447
Trade this on Polymarket
156
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
156
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 80.0%
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80.0%
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
50¢
Volume
$731
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 90.0%
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90.0%
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 100.0%
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 100.0%
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 105.0%
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 105.0%
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
144
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
144
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
162
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
162
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
140
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
140
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
164
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
164
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
172
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
172
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
138
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
138
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$449
Trade this on Polymarket
174
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
174
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
166
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
166
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
170
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
170
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 95.0%
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 95.0%
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$251
Trade this on Kalshi
168
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
168
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
192
9.9%
Polymarket 9.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $532 (5.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
192
Last price
9.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$532 (5.32x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
184
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
184
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
180
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
180
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
176
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
176
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
178
6.1%
Polymarket 6.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $962 (9.62x)
Polymarket
Contract
178
Last price
6.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10.4¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$962 (9.62x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
186
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
186
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
182
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
182
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
188
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
188
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
194
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
194
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.7¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,299 (13.0x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
196
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
196
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,389 (13.9x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
190
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
190
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
198
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
198
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
200
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
200
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
202
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
202
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$898
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Trading Economics

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 65.0%
  • 148
  • Above 70.0%

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 65.0% for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in October 2026?". Above 65.0% leads at 96%. Next is 148 at 87%. $123K has traded across 41 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2026.

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in October 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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