The Prediction Markets

What will Starbucks say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Feb 10, 2027, in 4 months
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Green Apron (3+ times) 90%

Next is Tariff at 84%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Green Apron (3+ times)
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Green Apron (3+ times)
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$873
Trade this on Kalshi
Tariff
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tariff
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$154
Trade this on Kalshi
Smart Queue / SmartQ
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Smart Queue / SmartQ
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Loyalty
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Loyalty
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$67
Trade this on Kalshi
Comparable Sales
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Comparable Sales
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Kalshi
Pumpkin Spice
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pumpkin Spice
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Kalshi
Matcha
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matcha
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Kalshi
Frappuccino
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Frappuccino
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$406
Trade this on Kalshi
Protein
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Protein
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$272
Trade this on Kalshi
Canada
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Canada
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 7 more outcomes
AI / Artificial Intelligence
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$153
Trade this on Kalshi
Green Dot Assist
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Green Dot Assist
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Kalshi
Union / Unionize / Unionized
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Union / Unionize / Unionized
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Peanuts / Snoopy
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Peanuts / Snoopy
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Boyu
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Boyu
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Horchata
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Horchata
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
World Cup
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
World Cup
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Starbucks Corporation Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Green Apron (3+ times)
  • Tariff
  • Smart Queue / SmartQ

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Starbucks say during their next earnings call?". Green Apron (3+ times) leads at 90%. Next is Tariff at 84%. $3K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 10, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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