The Prediction Markets

What will the announcers say during Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi Fight

FinalExpected to finish
Traded
$5K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jul 5, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$181
Trade this on Kalshi
Decision / Judged
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Decision / Judged
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Kalshi
Train / Trained / Training
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Train / Trained / Training
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$433
Trade this on Kalshi
Tired / Tiring
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tired / Tiring
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Kalshi
Blood / Bloody
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Blood / Bloody
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Kalshi
Choke / Choked / Chokehold
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Choke / Choked / Chokehold
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$230
Trade this on Kalshi
Slip / Slips / Slipped
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Slip / Slips / Slipped
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$295
Trade this on Kalshi
Triangle
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Triangle
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$307
Trade this on Kalshi
Legal / Illegal
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Legal / Illegal
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$643
Trade this on Kalshi
Championship
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Championship
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$376
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 4 more outcomes
What a Fight
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
What a Fight
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dana
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dana
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$710
Trade this on Kalshi
Lights Out
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lights Out
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$204
Trade this on Kalshi
Event does not qualify
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Event does not qualify
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$482
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: UFC, Paramount+

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out
  • Decision / Judged
  • Train / Trained / Training

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "What will the announcers say during Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi Fight". Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out last traded at 62%. Next is Decision / Judged at 52%. $5K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 5, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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